Saturday, December 6, 2008

here's how the dodge works... and other tricks of the health care trade...

Ezra Klien at Cato
Waiting times: Here's how the dodge works: If you look at waiting times, you'll see that relatively few Americans wait more than four months for surgery, which helps folks claim that America doesn't ration care, and makes our system look pretty good on the waiting times metric. Here's what they don't tell you: When you look at who foregoes care, the international comparisons reverse themselves. About 23% of Americans report that they didn't receive care, or get a test due to cost. In Canada, that number is 5.5%.

Worse, the American number is understated, as in order to know you need a surgery or further care, you need to go for an initial appointment, and as it happens, many Americans -- including 36 percent below average income -- aren't even seeking that. And it's this group -- which is largely low-income, and I'd guess, largely urban -- who would, in another country, be experiencing terrific wait times. Here, they never get care at all. We call that "no wait" rather than infinite wait. The studies misleadingly write them out of the waiting statistics, making it look like America has low wait times when the relevant population is simply never getting care at all. But would you rather be the urban poor in London, who wait a year for a hip replacement, or the urban poor in America, who never get one?

So it's not good and it's not pleasant. Maybe it's cheap?

Canada: $3678
France: $3449
Germany: $3371
UK: $2760
USA: $6714

The difference between UK and America could buy every America 5.3 ounces of pure gold per year.

Value: Who has better outcomes is like Camry vs. Accord. Some things are better on one car, some things are worse. But if you paid 15,000 for your Camry, and I paid $22,000 for my Accord, then in fact the Camry is MUCH better.

So it's not cheap, and it's not pleasant, and it's not good. We may not agree on what reform looks like, but we should be able to agree that this is not acceptable. There is no defense for a system delivering such poor value.

Sidenote: The evidence seems to be that systems that spend $2,500 and systems that spend $7,000 give fairly similar results. More health care dollars does not bring you more health care results, and this is true across nations, but also across states (Minnesota v. Florida). Health care does not seem like a good place to overspend. We should probably err on the side of spending less, not more. Instead, we err on the side of spending much more.

No comments:

Post a Comment