In a soundbite, the U.S. financial system performs dismally at its advertised
task, that of efficiently directing society’s savings towards their optimal
investment pursuits. The system is stupefyingly expensive, gives
terrible signals for the allocation of capital, and has surprisingly little to do
with real investment. Most money managers can barely match market averages
— and there’s evidence that active trading reduces performance
rather than improving it — yet they still haul in big fees, and their brokers,
big commissions (Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny 1992). Over the long
haul, almost all corporate capital expenditures are internally financed,
through profits and depreciation allowances. And instead of promoting
investment, the U.S. financial system seems to do quite the opposite; U.S.
investment levels rank towards the bottom of the First World (OECD) countries,
and are below what even quite orthodox economists — like Darrel
Cohen, Kevin Hassett, and Jim Kennedy (1995) of the Federal Reserve —
term “optimal” levels. Real investment, not buying shares in a mutual fund.
Take, for example, the stock market, which is probably the centerpiece
of the whole enterprise.1 What does it do? Both civilians and professional
apologists would probably answer by saying that it raises capital for investment.
In fact it doesn’t. Between 1981 and 1997, U.S. nonfinancial
corporations retired $813 billion more in stock than they issued, thanks to
takeovers and buybacks. Of course, some individual firms did issue stock
to raise money, but surprisingly little of that went to investment either. A
Wall Street Journal
article on 1996’s dizzying pace of stock issuance(McGeehan 1996) named overseas privatizations (some of which, like
Deutsche Telekom, spilled into U.S. markets) “and the continuing restructuring
of U.S. corporations” as the driving forces behind the torrent of
new paper. In other words, even the new-issues market has more to do
with the arrangement and rearrangement of ownership patterns than it
WALL STREET
4
does with raising fresh capital — a point I’ll return to throughout this book.
But most of the trading in the stock market is of existing shares, not
newly issued ones. New issues in 1997 totaled $100 billion, a record —
but that’s about a week’s trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange.
2One thing the financial markets do very well, however, is concentrate
wealth. Government debt, for example, can be thought of as a means for
upward redistribution of income, from ordinary taxpayers to rich bondholders.
Instead of taxing rich people, governments borrow from them,
and pay them interest for the privilege. Consumer credit also enriches the
rich; people suffering stagnant wages who use the VISA card to make
ends meet only fatten the wallets of their creditors with each monthly
payment. Nonfinancial corporations pay their stockholders billions in annual
dividends rather than reinvesting them in the business. It’s no wonder,
then, that wealth has congealed so spectacularly at the top. Chapter 2
offers detailed numbers; for the purposes of this introduction, however, a
couple of gee-whiz factoids will do. Leaving aside the principal residence,
the richest
1/2% of the U.S. population claims a larger share of nationalwealth than the bottom 90%, and the richest 10% account for over threequarters
of the total. And with that wealth comes extraordinary social power
— the power to buy politicians, pundits, and professors, and to dictate
both public and corporate policy.
“Passion and prejudice govern the world; only under the name of reason” --John Wesley
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Surprisingly little to do with real investment
Excerpt from Doug Henwood's book Wall Street p.3-4
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